Calculators

Can You Win the Lottery? What Changes the Odds, What Doesn’t

Nothing makes a lottery win likely. A few choices change the odds or your share of a prize, and each has a cost. Most tips change nothing. The calculator below shows the numbers.

Chance of the top prize in 10 years1 in 32,1601,040 plays of Lotto Max
You spend$6,240any prize: 1 in 5.8 per play

Playing Lotto Max 104 times a year for 10 years costs $6,240. The chance of its top prize in that time is 1 in 32,160.

Changes the chance: which game

The same $6,240 spent on each game (whole plays only), top prize only:

Lightning Lotto (OLG)1 in 204.2
Lightning Lotto (WCLC)1 in 306.1
Lottario1 in 653.1
Tout ou rien1 in 867.2
Ontario 491 in 2,241
Western 6491 in 2,241
Québec 491 in 2,241
BC/491 in 2,241
Atlantic 491 in 2,241
Daily Grand1 in 6,418
Lotto 6/491 in 6,723
Western Max1 in 10,672
Québec Max1 in 16,080
Lotto Max your game1 in 32,160

Bars use a log scale: each sixth of the bar is ten times the chance. Top prizes differ a lot in size: a game with better odds usually has a much smaller top prize.

Changes the chance and the cost: more plays or a pool

You alone1 in 32,160
Twice the plays (twice the cost)1 in 16,080

A pool buys more plays with the same money from each person, so its chance grows about as many times as there are people, and a prize is shared by all of them. On average each person gets back the same as playing alone.

Changes nothing

Hot or cold numberssame chance
Overdue numberssame chance
A number system or wheelsame chance
A "lucky" storesame chance
Quick Pick or your own numberssame chance

Every combination has the same chance in every draw. Numbers you choose can change how many people share a jackpot, not the chance to win it.

How it is calculated

Source: OLG game conditions checked Nov 2, 2026 · OLG page checked Nov 2, 2026 · WCLC game conditions checked Nov 2, 2026 · WCLC page checked Nov 2, 2026 · Loto-Québec game conditions checked Nov 2, 2026 · Loto-Québec page checked Nov 2, 2026 · web.archive.org game conditions checked Oct 29, 2026 · web.archive.org page checked Oct 29, 2026

What really changes the odds

ChoiceChance of a top prizeWhat it costs
Lotto Max alone1 in 32,160$6,240
Another gameLightning Lotto (OLG): 1 in 204.2 for the same moneyTop prize differs in size from a Lotto Max jackpot
Lotto Max, twice the plays1 in 16,080Twice the money
Lotto Max, pool of 101 in 3,216 (the pool’s chance)Each of 10 members pays $6,240; any prize is split

All rows: 104 plays a year for 10 years, chance of at least one top prize. See odds by game and the pool calculator.

What changes only your share

Same chance, different share

Your numbers do not change the chance of a match. If other plays have the same numbers, the jackpot is split between all of them.

Example with random numbers

86.4%

For example, with 10,000,000 plays of random numbers in a Lotto Max draw, a jackpot winner keeps on average 86.4% of the jackpot (the rest goes to other winners).

Quick Pick or own numbers

Both have the same odds. How a jackpot is shared between winners: see jackpot sharing.

What changes nothing

Common claims

  • Hot numbers come up more often
  • Cold or overdue numbers are due
  • A system or wheel raises the chance
  • A lucky store sells winning tickets
  • Own numbers do better than Quick Pick

What the math says

  • Each draw is random; past draws do not change the next one
  • No number is due; every number has the same chance
  • A wheel only arranges more plays; each play keeps its odds
  • A ticket has the same odds wherever it is sold
  • Quick Pick and own numbers have the same odds

Sources

Questions

Is there a way to win the lottery?

No method makes a win likely. Every combination has the same chance in every draw. For example, the Lotto Max jackpot odds are 1 in 33,446,140 per play, whether you choose the numbers or use Quick Pick.

Which lottery is easiest to win?

Among the lotto games on this site, the same money ($6,240) gives the best chance of a top prize in Lightning Lotto (OLG): 1 in 204.2, whole plays only. Its top prize differs in size from a Lotto Max jackpot.

Does a lottery pool change the odds?

A pool buys more plays, so the group’s chance is higher: for example, 1 in 3,216 for a Lotto Max pool of 10 instead of 1 in 32,160 alone. Each member pays $6,240, and any prize is split.

Do hot numbers or lucky stores help?

No. Each draw is random, and past draws do not change the next one. A ticket has the same odds wherever it is sold and whatever numbers it has.