Calculators

Scratch Tickets vs Lottery Draws: Return Compared

Scratch tickets or lotto? Compare what share of each dollar goes back as prizes, how often a ticket wins anything, and how the prize structure differs.

Products
Scratch tickets63%–65%back of $20.00 spent: $12.59–$13.00
Lotto draws44%–60%back of $20.00 spent: $8.74–$12.00
Keno50%–67%back of $20.00 spent: $10.03–$13.43
Daily number games45%–65%back of $20.00 spent: $9.00–$13.00
Add-ons16%–51%back of $20.00 spent: $3.10–$10.28

Of $20.00 spent, the products below pay back between $3.10 and $13.43 on average. The rest is not paid back as prizes.

KenoBCLC · Keno
67.2%$13.43

exact return of the paytable, best option, 50.0% to 67.2% by option. Any prize: 1 in 10.3

Cash PopOLG · Daily number games
65.0%$13.00

exact return of the paytable, best option, 58.2% to 65.0% by option. Any prize: 1 in 15.0

OLG INSTANT 2584OLG · Scratch tickets
65.0%$13.00

payout on the fact sheet, reproduced by our code. Any prize: 1 in 4.1

OLG INSTANT 2568OLG · Scratch tickets
64.9%$12.99

payout on the fact sheet, reproduced by our code. Any prize: 1 in 3.8

Loto-Québec 7-6902Loto-Québec · Scratch tickets
63.5%$12.70

published return, reproduced by our code. Any prize: 1 in 3.5

Loto-Québec 7-6033Loto-Québec · Scratch tickets
63.0%$12.60

published return, reproduced by our code. Any prize: 1 in 3.5

OLG INSTANT 2594OLG · Scratch tickets
63.0%$12.59

payout on the fact sheet, reproduced by our code. Any prize: 1 in 3.8

KenoWCLC · Keno
62.1%$12.42

exact return of the paytable, best option, 50.0% to 62.1% by option. Any prize: 1 in 6.2

Lotto PokerLoto-Québec · Lotto draws
60.0%$12.00

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 3.7

MegaDice LottoOLG · Lotto draws
59.9%$11.98

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 3.7

Pick-2OLG · Daily number games
58.5%$11.70

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 10.0

Pick 2WCLC · Daily number games
58.5%$11.70

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 10.0

KENO AtlanticAtlantic Lottery · Keno
56.4%$11.28

exact return of the paytable, best option, 52.0% to 56.4% by option. Any prize: 1 in 57.1

Daily KenoOLG · Keno
55.1%$11.01

exact return of the paytable, best option, 42.0% to 55.1% by option. Any prize: 1 in 12.7

BancoLoto-Québec · Keno
55.1%$11.01

exact return of the paytable, best option, 42.0% to 55.1% by option. Any prize: 1 in 12.7

Tout ou rienLoto-Québec · Lotto draws
54.6%$10.92

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 4.5

EncoreOLG · Add-ons
51.4%$10.28

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 9.2

Banco spécialLoto-Québec · Keno
50.2%$10.03

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 4.1

Pick-3OLG · Daily number games
50.0%$10.00

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 1,000

Pick-4OLG · Daily number games
50.0%$10.00

exact return of the paytable, best option, 48.0% to 50.0% by option. Any prize: 1 in 10,000

Pick 3WCLC · Daily number games
50.0%$10.00

exact return of the paytable, best option, 48.0% to 50.0% by option. Any prize: 1 in 1,000

Pick 4WCLC · Daily number games
50.0%$10.00

exact return of the paytable, best option, 48.0% to 50.0% by option. Any prize: 1 in 10,000

Quotidienne 2Loto-Québec · Daily number games
50.0%$10.00

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 100.0

LOTTO 4Atlantic Lottery · Daily number games
50.0%$10.00

exact return of the paytable, best option, 48.0% to 50.0% by option. Any prize: 1 in 10,000

Québec 49Loto-Québec · Lotto draws
49.9%$9.98

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 32.3

Lotto MaxNational · Lotto draws
48.0%$9.60

share of each play set aside for prizes, from the game conditions. Any prize: 1 in 5.8

Lotto 6/49National · Lotto draws
48.0%$9.60

share of each play set aside for prizes, from the game conditions. Any prize: 1 in 6.6

La MiniLoto-Québec · Lotto draws
48.0%$9.60

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 47.4

TAGAtlantic Lottery · Add-ons
47.2%$9.44

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 10.0

Québec MaxLoto-Québec · Lotto draws
47.0%$9.40

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 3.9

ExtraWCLC · Add-ons
45.8%$9.16

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 10.0

ExtraLoto-Québec · Add-ons
45.5%$9.11

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 9.1

ExtraBCLC · Add-ons
45.2%$9.04

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 6.5

Quotidienne 3Loto-Québec · Daily number games
45.0%$9.00

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 1,000

Quotidienne 4Loto-Québec · Daily number games
45.0%$9.00

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 10,000

AstroLoto-Québec · Lotto draws
43.7%$8.74

return published by the lottery. Any prize: 1 in 5.1

Poker Lotto ALL INOLG · Add-ons
24.8%$4.97

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 273.1

Poker Lotto ALL INWCLC · Add-ons
24.8%$4.97

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 273.1

Lotto Poker PlusLoto-Québec · Add-ons
15.5%$3.10

exact return of the paytable, best option. Any prize: 1 in 273.1

Scratch tickets pay back more of each dollar, mostly in small prizes and free tickets; lotto draws pay less back, with rare large prizes. Every figure is an average over all tickets: one ticket usually wins nothing.

Lotto games whose return depends on the jackpot and is not published are left out.

How it is calculated
Woman holding a scratch card and a play slip side by side

Return by product type

ProductShare of sales paid as prizesOdds of any prize
Scratch – OLG INSTANT game A63.0%1 in 3.78
Scratch – OLG INSTANT game B65.0%1 in 4.11
Scratch – OLG INSTANT game C64.9%1 in 3.81
Keno – OLG Daily Keno, best spot choice55.1%Depends on spots picked
Lotto Max48.0%1 in 5.83

Scratch payout is theoretical: cash prizes at launch, all tickets sold, all prizes claimed, free tickets not counted. Figures come from the official prize tables.

What return per dollar means

Return = total prizes paid ÷ total ticket sales

Example: For example, a scratch game returning 65.0% pays that share of all sales as prizes. The rest is not paid back.

Average loss per ticket

Average loss = ticket cost − (ticket cost × return)

Example: For example, Lotto Max returns 48.0%: on average, more than half of each dollar spent does not come back.

Frequent small wins vs rare big ones

Scratch tickets

  • Odds of any prize near 1 in 3.78
  • Most prizes are small – often the ticket price or a free ticket
  • Top prize is fixed and printed in the prize table
  • Some prizes may already be claimed when you buy
  • Result shown at once

Lotto draws (Lotto Max)

  • Odds of any prize are 1 in 5.83
  • Prize tiers run from 3 of 7 up to 7 of 7
  • Jackpot is set by the lottery operator (ILC) and announced before the draw
  • Top prize is far rarer and far larger
  • Result comes only after the draw

Terms on this page

Prize payout
The share of all ticket sales a game pays out as prizes. Also called return to player.
Odds of any prize
How often a ticket wins something, from the smallest prize to the top prize.
Free ticket
A prize that gives a new ticket instead of cash. Not counted in the scratch prize payout.
Theoretical payout
Payout calculated at launch, assuming every ticket is sold and every prize is claimed.

Compare more games

Sources

Questions

Do scratch tickets have better odds than the lottery?

For any prize, yes, in these examples: the OLG scratch games show 1 in 3.78 to 1 in 4.11, and Lotto Max shows 1 in 5.83. Most of those scratch prizes are small or a free ticket.

Which returns more per dollar, scratch or lotto?

In these examples, scratch games return 63.0% to 65.0% of sales as prizes, and Lotto Max returns 48.0%. Both return less than what is spent, so the average result is a loss.

Why do scratch tickets pay a prize more often?

Scratch prize tables include many small prizes and free tickets. Lotto Max puts a large part of its prize money into the jackpot and top tiers, so prizes of any size come less often.

Is the scratch payout percentage what I will get back?

No. It is theoretical: cash prizes at launch, assuming all tickets are sold and all prizes claimed, with free tickets not counted. Some prizes may already be claimed, and one ticket's result is random.